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2024-12-14 12:29:16

Japan's semiconductor sector rose collectively, with ADVANTEST up nearly 5%, DISCO up over 2% and Renesas Electronics up over 1%.Australia's ASX 200 index narrowed to 0.1%, and the Australian dollar increased. The just released Australian employment data was better than expected.Japanese and Korean stock markets opened higher, with the Nikkei 225 index rising 1.21% to 39,849.97. South Korea's KOSPI index rose 0.6% to 2,456.63.


CICC: Inflation in the United States may push the "hawks to cut interest rates". The CICC research report said that inflation data opened the door for the Fed to cut interest rates next week, but we also predicted that the "hawks to cut interest rates" will be staged next week, and the Fed may cut the guidance on interest rate cuts in the bitmap. We predict that the new bitmap will show that the total interest rate will be cut twice in 2025 (compared with four times before), and the federal funds rate will be lowered to a neutral level of 3.75% to 4% by the end of the second quarter of next year.Digging deep into the multiplier effect, we will launch a new round of coupons. Beijing will issue no less than 30,000 coupons for ice and snow, Changzhou, Jiangsu will issue 1 million yuan coupons for "Su Xin Consumption Celebrating New Year's Day" in 2024, and Xi 'an will launch a new round of coupons ... With the arrival of the peak consumption season at the end of the year, we will launch a new round of coupons distribution activities in many places and increase support for catering, cultural tourism and other consumption fields. The reporter found that the new round of coupons is characterized by multi-domain, rolling and multi-denomination distribution, covering catering, accommodation, sports and other fields. At the same time, rolling distribution of coupons can effectively cover important consumption nodes such as New Year's Day and Spring Festival, and multi-denomination coupons will also meet the diverse needs of different consumers. "The issuance of coupons can produce a multiplier effect and drive a wider range of economic activities. As a short-term stimulus measure, coupons will quickly boost consumer confidence, activate market demand, and at the same time drive the recovery and development of related industries. In particular, the accurate delivery of consumer vouchers in different fields and batches will help guide the consumption direction and optimize the consumption structure. " Zeng Fue, a professor at economics and management school of wuhan university, said. (Economic Information Daily)CITIC Securities: Potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to a staged turning point in catering demand. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, domestic consumer demand has been sluggish since 2023, and the price of the catering industry has entered a downward channel. How will China catering enterprises behave at this moment? The experience of Japanese restaurant enterprises may provide some enlightenment. Although the differences between macro and national conditions prevent China from simply repeating the price war of Japanese catering and its impact, the catering competition in high-speed cities in China is similar to that in Japan in structure. The research report believes that the change of restaurant supply and CPI performance can be used as a forward-looking indicator to judge when the current price war will end, while potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to catering demand and form a stage turning point. Two main lines are recommended: 1) Mature catering enterprises pay attention to the same-store sales and valuation improvement brought about by the rebound of CPI, while enterprises with serious decline in same-store sales before have higher performance and valuation resilience. 2) Growing catering enterprises pay more attention to the rhythm of income growth and profit release.


The Embassy of China in Sudan once again reminds China citizens not to go to Sudan for the time being, and to leave the Sudan as soon as possible if there is no necessary reason. Recently, air strikes and shelling incidents have occurred frequently in Sudan, causing a large number of civilian casualties and the overall security risks remain high. The Embassy in Sudan once again reminded China citizens not to go to Sudan in the near future, and suggested that citizens in China should leave the country as soon as possible if there is no need to stay in the country.The Nikkei 225 index hit a two-month high of 40,000 points, and the Nikkei 225 index hit a two-month high of 40,000 points, up 1.61% in the day.Brazilian farmers' lobby demanded the lifting of the ban on planting soybeans in the deforested Amazon rainforest. A Brazilian farmers' lobby is seeking to terminate a 20-year-old agreement that prohibits grain traders from buying soybeans from deforested farms in the Amazon rainforest, claiming that the agreement has created an unfair competition environment. Aprosoja-MT, a soybean farmers' lobbying organization located in western Mato Grosso, said on Wednesday that the agreement encouraged "purchasing cartels" and harmed the interests of farmers who strictly abide by the forest laws of South American countries. The statement said that it had formally asked the anti-monopoly watchdog CADE to terminate the agreement.

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